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Interview: SEMI CEO sees US$3 trillion chip industry by 2035, as trusted partners reshape supply chain

Credited to DigiTimes$ · digitimes.com

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"Let's toast to $1 trillion and beyond."

Joe Stockunas, president of SEMI Americas, proposed the toast at the opening ceremony of SEMICON West 2026 at Moscone Center in San Francisco on Oct. 13. The celebration marked the first time cumulative global semiconductor market revenue had surpassed $1 trillion in the first eight months of a year.

Ajit Manocha, president and chief executive officer of SEMI, predicted when he took office in 2017 that the semiconductor market would reach $1 trillion by 2030. The market crossed that threshold this year, about four years ahead of his forecast, reaching the milestone in just eight months rather than a full year. SEMI expects annual semiconductor market revenue to reach $1.5 trillion in 2026.

"When I predicted the semiconductor market would reach $1 trillion by 2030, everyone said, 'What are you talking about?'" Manocha said. "Two years later, many people began to agree." Actual growth has been much faster than market expectations, he added.

"The market could reach $2 trillion to $3 trillion by 2035," Manocha said. "It took 50 years to reach $500 billion, but only five years to reach $1 trillion." He added that anything could happen over the next five years.

Manocha cited investment in new semiconductor fabrication plants, or fabs, and data center expansion as key drivers of market growth. A total of 102 fabs are targeted to begin operations by 2029, with 82 already under construction. There are currently 479 operating data centers, with another 77 planned. Fab expansion is expected to increase demand not only for equipment but also for materials and packaging.

SEMICON West 2026 runs from Oct. 13 to 15 at the South and North Halls of Moscone Center in San Francisco. The event features more than 1,500 booths and over 500 speakers across more than 60 presentation sessions. Organizers expect attendance to exceed 35,000 this year.

Next year's SEMICON West will take place from March 30 to April 1, 2027, at the Phoenix Convention Center in Arizona. SEMI said it moved the event to an earlier date to avoid conflicts with global exhibitions concentrated in the second half of the year. The venue was also relocated to Phoenix, home to numerous semiconductor fabs, to strengthen ties with the local industry ecosystem.

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